Murayama H, Nishi A, Endo A (2023). "Different time scales used for sexual partner surveys pose a challenge in modelling dynamics of sexually transmitted infections." medRxiv. 2023.12.25.23300526. Publication linkPDF
Peer-reviewed papers
2026
Role of community and sexual contacts as drivers of MPXV clade I
Murayama H†, Asakura TR†, Dickens BL, Boyle D, Foo JH, Jin S, Mukadi PK, Ejima K, Jung S-m, Nishi A, Prem K, Wakamba AM, Saila-Ngita D, Niyukuri D, Endo A (2026). "Role of community and sexual contacts as drivers of MPXV clade I." Nature Health. 2026. Publication linkPDFGitHub repository
2025
Disentangling temporal trends of clade Ib monkeypox virus transmission in Burundi
Publishedmpoxclade IbBurundi
Jin S, Asakura TR, Murayama H, Jung S, Niyukuri D, Nyandwi J, Nkengurutse L, Kamatari O, Lim JT, Endo A, Dickens BSL (2025). "Disentangling temporal trends of clade Ib monkeypox virus transmission in Burundi." The Journal of Infectious Diseases. 2025;jiaf475. Publication linkPDFGitHub repository
Vaccination strategies to achieve outbreak control for MPXV Clade I with a one-time mass campaign in sub-Saharan Africa: A scenario-based modelling study
Publishedmpoxvaccinationoutbreak control
Jin S, Asakura TR, Murayama H, Niyukuri D, Saila-Ngita D, Lim JT, Endo A, Dickens BSL (2025). "Vaccination strategies to achieve outbreak control for MPXV Clade I with a one-time mass campaign in sub-Saharan Africa: A scenario-based modelling study." PLOS Medicine. 2025;22(9):e1004726. Publication linkPDFGitHub repository
Evaluating the effectiveness of international travel controls to identify MPXV-infected travelers: a simulation study
Publishedmpoxtravel controlsimportation screening
Ejima K†, Wang Y†, Endo A†, Murayama H, Goh YS, Cook AR, Jeong YD, Iwami S, Park H, Dickens BSL, Jin S, Lim JT, Chan CEZ, Chia PY, Young BE, Chio M, Lye DC, Ajelli M (2025). "Evaluating the effectiveness of international travel controls to identify MPXV-infected travelers: a simulation study." BMC Medicine. 2025;23(1):473. Publication linkPDFGitHub repository
Modelling international spread of clade IIb mpox on the Asia continent
Publishedmpoxinternational spreadAsia
Asakura TR, Jung S, Murayama H, Ghaznavi C, Sakamoto H, Teshima A, Miura F, Endo A (2025). "Modelling international spread of clade IIb mpox on the Asia continent." Bulletin of the World Health Organization. 2025. Publication linkPDFGitHub repository
2024
Dynamic landscape of mpox importation risks driven by heavy-tailed sexual contact networks among men who have sex with men in 2022: a mathematical modeling study
Publishedmpoximportation risksexual networks
Jung S†, Miura F†, Murayama H, Funk S, Wallinga J, Lessler J, Endo A (2024). "Dynamic landscape of mpox importation risks driven by heavy-tailed sexual contact networks among men who have sex with men in 2022: a mathematical modeling study." The Journal of Infectious Diseases. 2024;jiae433. Publication linkPDFGitHub repository
Accumulation of immunity in heavy-tailed sexual contact networks shapes mpox outbreak sizes
Publishedmpoxsexual networksimmunity
Murayama H, Pearson CAB, Abbott S, Miura F, Jung S, Fearon E, Funk S, Endo A (2024). "Accumulation of immunity in heavy-tailed sexual contact networks shapes mpox outbreak sizes." The Journal of Infectious Diseases. 2024 Jan 15;229(1):59–63. Publication linkPDFGitHub repository
2023
Estimation of waning vaccine effectiveness from population-level surveillance data in multi-variant epidemics
Murayama H, Endo A, Yoneoka S (2023). "Estimation of waning vaccine effectiveness from population-level surveillance data in multi-variant epidemics." Epidemics. 2023;45:100726. Publication linkPDFGitHub repository
2022
Heavy-tailed sexual contact networks and monkeypox epidemiology in the global outbreak, 2022
Publishedmpoxsexual networksoutbreak dynamics
Endo A, Murayama H, Abbott S, Ratnayake R, Pearson CAB, Edmunds WJ, Fearon E†, Funk S† (2022). "Heavy-tailed sexual contact networks and monkeypox epidemiology in the global outbreak, 2022." Science. 378(6615):90-94. Publication linkPDFGitHub repository
Age-Dependent Effects of COVID-19 Vaccine and of Healthcare Burden on COVID-19 Deaths, Tokyo, Japan
Ko KY, Murayama H, Yamasaki L, Kinoshita R, Suzuki M, Nishiura H (2022). "Age-Dependent Effects of COVID-19 Vaccine and of Healthcare Burden on COVID-19 Deaths, Tokyo, Japan." Emerging Infectious Diseases. 28(9):1777-1786. Publication linkPDFGitHub repository
2021
The impact of temperature on the transmissibility and virulence of COVID-19 in Tokyo, Japan
PublishedCOVID-19climatetransmissibility
Murayama H†, Yamasaki L†, Hashizume M (2021). "The impact of temperature on the transmissibility and virulence of COVID-19 in Tokyo, Japan." Scientific Reports. 2021;11(1):24477. Publication linkPDF
Estimating COVID-19 cases infected with the variant alpha (VOC 202012/01): an analysis of screening data in Tokyo, January-March 2021
PublishedCOVID-19variantssurveillance
Murayama H, Kayano T, Nishiura H (2021). "Estimating COVID-19 cases infected with the variant alpha (VOC 202012/01): an analysis of screening data in Tokyo, January-March 2021." Theoretical Biology and Medical Modelling. 2021;18(1):13. Publication linkPDF
Conference
Transmission dynamics and risk assessment of mpox clade IIb and Ib within men who have sex with men
Conferencempoxsexual networks
Murayama H, Endo A. "Transmission dynamics and risk assessment of mpox clade IIb and Ib within men who have sex with men." Early Career Researcher Sandbox session, Infectious Disease Modelling conference. Nov 2024. Bangkok, Thailand. Slide PDFBlog post
Journal Correspondence
Preemptive Mpox Vaccine Deployment: Aligning Strategy with Reality
Journal correspondencempoxvaccine effectiveness
Jung S, Miura F, Murayama H, Funk S, Wallinga J, Lessler J, Endo A. (2025) "Preemptive Mpox Vaccine Deployment: Aligning Strategy with Reality." The Journal of Infectious Diseases. 2025 Jul;jiaf365. Publication link
Reports
Evaluating the Age-Specific Effectiveness of COVID-19 Vaccines Against Death from surveillance data in Tokyo
ReportCOVID-19vaccine effectivenesssurveillance
Ko KY, Murayama H, Yamasaki L, Kinoshita R, Nishiura H, Suzuki M. (2021) "Evaluating the Age-Specific Effectiveness of COVID-19 Vaccines Against Death from surveillance data in Tokyo." Materials 3-2, 65th Advisory Board Meeting, Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare on COVID-19 Countermeasures (28 December 2021), 79-90. 28 Dec 2021. (in Japanese) Report PDF
Evaluating the Age-Specific Effectiveness of COVID-19 Vaccines Against Death from surveillance data in Tokyo
ReportCOVID-19vaccine effectivenesssurveillance
Ko KY, Murayama H, Yamasaki L, Kinoshita R, Nishiura H, Suzuki M. (2021) "Evaluating the Age-Specific Effectiveness of COVID-19 Vaccines Against Death from surveillance data in Tokyo." National Institute of Infectious Diseases, Infectious Diseases Surveillance Center. 28 Dec 2021. (in Japanese) Report link
Media
Japanese Scientists in Science 2022
Media
Endo A, Murayama H. "Japanese Scientists in Science 2022." AAAS Media PDF
Weekly Medical Journal feature
Media
Nishiura H, Murayama H. Media feature. Weekly Medical Journal Vol. 3381, Igaku-Shoin. 10 Aug 2020. Media link